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  Aquatk Habiia~ Instiruve____________________________







   SCREENING OF PROBLEMS
      RELA~NG TO ThE
  SAN FRANCISCO BAY-DELTA




    David J.H. Phillips
   Donald J. Baumganner







     November 30, 1987


















 San ~ran(i~co Bat - Delia

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                      Aquaik Habiiat Ins~iiuie___________________________










                            CONTENTS


Summary                                               (i)

 1.   Introduction                                      l

II.   Production of the Consolidated Problem List       2

111.  Consolidated List of Bay-Delta Problems           6

      Problem area I. Inflows                           6

      Problem area II. Land Use                        12

      Problem area Ill. Waterway Modification          18

      Problem area Iv. Pollutants                      20

IV.   The First Screening Process                      30

 V.   The Second Screening Process                     41



Appendix A.  Original problem lists

Appendix B.  Placement of MAC and PAC problems.

Appendix C.  Relationships between original and consolidated
               problem lists.


















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                       Aquatic Habirai I,isIitu~e___________________________

                              SUMMARY

     EPA Region Ix requested AHI to produce a Consolidated list

of problems relating to the San Francisco-Bay Delta, and  to

screen these problems against criteria adopted at the Management

Conference (MAC) meeting of 27 May 1987.

     AHI received three lists of problems, generated initially by

the MAC, the Public Advisory Committee and the Technical Advisory

Committee (TAC).  These lists included a total of 189 problems,

although considerable overlap and duplication between the lists

was evident.  A consolidated problem list (containing 83

problems) was developed, using the TAC list of 18 May as a basis

for format.  The problems were placed in four categories (as

requested by EPA and the MAC), relating to inflow, land use,

waterway modifications and pollutants.

     Problems on the consolidated list were scored against three

criteria in an initial screening process.  The criteria

related to:  (1)   effects on multiple resources or uses of the

estuary  (2) whether the issues involved were of a 5ystemwide

impact; (3) whether the issues had major local impacts.  Of the

83 problems, 43 Survived such screening by satisfying each of the

three criteria.   The majority of the problems which Survived

initial screening were in the categories relating to land use

(especially wetlands) and to pollutants.

     A second screening process was undertaken to further reduce

the number of problems.  This process scored only those problems

surviving initial screening against a further four criteria,

which related to costs and time-frames of studies, probable costs




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of controls, and the existence of ongoing investigations on the

problem area, Of the 43 problems passing initial screening, 28

also survived the second screening process. Once again, issues

relating to land use and pollutants dominated the surviving

probleins,

    On the basis of the criteria employed, the 28 problems

surviving the two-stage screening process are considered to be

most worthy of further consideration for funding. However, this

does not necessarily imply that either AHI or EPA endorses these

problem areas for funding by the Project.

    Problems which are thought by AHI to be priine candidates

for further detailed consideration are listed in the final

section of part V of the report (pages 47 and 54).  These include

problems relating to inflow regimes, mapping of wetlands,

monitoring of contaminants, dredging and duinping, and containinant

analysis, especially quality assurance.
























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                          AC~OWLEDGEMENTS



     Many `nembers of the various EPA San Francisco Estuary

Project committees provided constructive comments on the draft

version of the present report.  Critical reviews of that draft

were provided by Jack Anderson, Alex Horne, Brian Melzian and

Andrew Gunther; we are grateful to these reviewers in particular

for their contributions.  AHI staff members who contributed to

this document in its draft or final version include Andrew

Gunther, Jay Davis, Susan Prather and Emilia Martens.

     Special thanks are due to Mike Monroe of EPA Region IX, who

acted as Project Officer and provided guidance and direction

throughout the project.  Financial support was provided by EpA.
































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                        Aquaik Habiiai Institute___________________________




I. INTRODUCTION

     The Aquatic Habitat Institute (AHI) was requested, as one of

the tasks in an existing cooperative agreement with the

Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) Region IX, to contribute to

the definition of problems in the San Francisco Bay-Delta.

     EPA staff provided AHI with lists of problems developed by

the Management Conference (MAC), Public Advisory Committee (PAC)

and Technical Advisory Committee (TAC), and with certain

directives arising from the MAC meeting of 27 May 1987.  The AHI

task was to synthesize froin these materials a Consolidated list

of problems relating to the Bay-Delta, and to subject this to a

screening process against a number of criteria, in order to

identify high-priority problems which should be further addressed

by the Bay-Delta Project (in Issue Papers or otherwise).  This

report presents the results of such a process.


























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II. PRODUCTION OF THE CONSOLIDATED PROBLEM LIST

      AHI was provided with three lists of problems by EPA Region

IX staff, following the MAC meeting of 27 May 1987.  These three

lists were as follows:

   *  The MAC list, generated on 23 April 1987, comprising 84

      issues in total.

   *  The PAC list, generated on 8 May 1987, including a total of


      57 issues.

   *  The TAC list of 18 May 1987 (which derived from several

      previous versions), including 48 specific problems.

In addition to these three lists, EPA staff provided AHI in early

June with copies of written material from Alex Hildebrand

(Manager of the South Delta Water Agency and a member of the PAC)

and Stephen McAdam (San Francisco Bay Conservation and

Development Commission), and requested that comments in these be

taken into account in the production of a consolidated list of

problems relating to the Bay-Delta.  The additional material is

included as Appendix A to this report, as MAC members have not

seen these items previously.  The original MAC, PAC and TAC lists

are also included in this Appendix.  It was decided that no

problem areas required adding to the three original lists, as the

topics in the two additional letters were either generically or

specifically covered by items in the original lists.

      The three lists (from the MAC, PAC and TAC) differed

considerably in format.  The MAC and PAC lists of problems

generally constituted brief questions or statements relating to

perceived problem areas, and were unstructured in respect of


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problem category.   By contrast, the TAC list was quite highly

structured, problems being stated under subheadings in four major

categories.  These categories were essentially identical to

those agreed by the MAC on 27 May 1987 as potential priority

problem areas;  i.e., they related to inflow, land use, waterway

modification and pollutant issues.  In addition, most MAC members

at the 27 May meeting felt that the TAC problem list was in a

helpful and understandable format.

     The three lists, containing a total of 189 problems, showed

evidence of considerable overlap.  Major issues in the estuary

(particularly those relating to fisheries or pollutant sources)

often appeared in all three lists, although frequently with

differing degrees of detail or specificity.  Many other topics

also appeared in more than one list, but sometimes with slightly

different emphasis.

     As the TAC problem list of 18 May was more highly structured

and generally fitted the desired problem categorization, this

list was used as a basis to generate a consolidated set of

problems relating to the Bay-Delta.  The four main problem

categories were reworded according to requests from the MAC

meeting of 27 May and to directions from EPA staff.  Sub-areas

were added to each category to further structure the TAC list

(this involved moving some TAC problems from one portion of a

category to another).  The MAC and PAC lists were closely

perused, and decisions were made to:

     *  Add the problem to the TAC list as a new problem area;

or  *  Add the problem to the TAC list by rewording an existing



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     TAC problem (generally when differences in emphasis existed

     between comments in similar areas);

or * Consider that the problem was already covered by the TAC

     list.

The results of this process are shown in Appendix B. It will be

noted that only in a few cases, the stated problems were not

understood; this may have been caused by faulty transcription of

the problem or for other reasons. It was not possible to

identify individuals on the two committees as the source of

specific guestions so that their intent be clarified; as a

result, these problems were omitted. In a few other cases,

problems as stated in the original lists were considered not to

be part of the problem definition phase, but to refer to other

activities in the Bay-Delta project. Some of these concerned

topics such as socio-economic issues; EPA staff have instructed

AHI that several of these matters will be covered by Issue Papers

and do not therefore require consideration in the present phase

of problem definition. A few issues in the PAC list were deemed

to be issues which were best covered in detail by that committee

(e.g. PAC 57) rather than within the framework of the present

process of problem definition.

    The addition of the items from the MAC and PAC lists, and a

general restructuring of the TAC list, gave rise to a

consolidated problem list which is shown as section III in this

report. Each problem is identified in respect of its origin (see

information in parentheses after each problem) and problems are

numbered sequentially throughout. Where problems were


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significantly reworded froin the original, an asterisk (*) is

added in parentheses.  In a few cases, new proble'n areas were

added by AHI;  these are shown by the notation [NEW*).  In case

~nembers of any of the Cominittees `night wish to trace a problein

froin the original lists to the consolidated list (which is found

between pages 6 and 29) , these relationships are shown in

Appendix C.  For example, on page C:l, MAC question 68 is

redesignated as AHI question 33 on the consolidated list.












































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III.CONSOLIDATED LIST OF BAY-DELTA PROBLEMS



PROBLEM AREA I.  HOW DOES FRESHWATER INFLOW AFFECT THE BENEFICIAL

                 USES, PUBLIC HEALTH AND BIOLOGICAL RESOURCES OF

                 THE ESTUARY?


    The inflow of freshwater to the San Francisco Bay-Delta

ecosystem has been reduced by an estimated 60% from historical

(pre-185o) inflows, mostly by the diversion of water entering the

Delta to uses south of the Delta and in Southern California.  In

addition to this general reduction in inflows of freshwater, the

flow regime through the major rivers and the Delta has been

changed by damming of upstream waters, introduction of controls

on water release from 5ub-catchments, and water diversions.  The

reduction in freshwater inflows and the altered flow regime have

a range of consequences for the estuary.



A.  HYDRODYNAMIC EFFECTS


    How have hydrodynamic conditions in the Bay-Delta been

    affected by reductions in freshwater inflow? [Tac 1/2']


l.  Long-term mixing in the Bay is strongly influenced by

    exchanges with the coastal ocean as well as by freshwater

    inflows.  How does the ocean-bay exchange process vary with

    tidal amplitude, freshwater inflow, and currents in the

     coastal ocean?                                [Tac I/2b]



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 2.  Variations in residence times in San Francisco Bay depend in

     part on exchanges between the channels and the broad shallow

     areas.  How are exchanges between these areas affected by

     changes in freshwater inflow rates, and how do these effects

     compare with those of other factors such as tides and wind?
                                                   [TAC I/2c)


 3.  Gravitational circulation in the northern reach of San

     Francisco Bay is an important component of the hydrodynamic

     regime of the Bay-Delta, influencing pollutant dispersion

     and the movement of biota.  How do changes in freshwater

     inflow affect the gravitational circulation in the northern

     reach of the Bay?                                [TAC I/2d*]


 4.  Data suggest that large freshwater inflows from the Delta

     reduce residence times in South Bay by replacing a

     significant fraction of its water mass with fresh water.

     What quantity of inflow and antecedent conditions are

     necessary to adequately flush pollutants from the South Bay?

                                                 [TAC I/I, 1/2a*]


B.  SALINITY INTRUSION



    HoW have reductions in freshwater inflows or other phenomena

    affected saltwater intrusions into the Delta?    [TAC 1/2*]


 5.  The Delta ecosystem is severely affected when freshwater

     inflow is small.  Continued and increased freshwater

     diversion will exacerbate salinity intrusion.  What are the




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     most appropriate management strategies to preserve the

     integrity of the Delta ecosystem?                  (TAC 1/2e]


6.   Failures of levees in the Delta could exacerbate the effects

     of inflow reduction on saltwater intrusion,  What quantita-

     tive effect would levee failures exert on salinity intrusion

     in the Delta and are there particularly sensitive areas in

     respect of this?                            [MAC 4*, PAC 50*]





c.   SEDIMENT FLUX

     To what extent has reduced freshwater inflow affected

     sediment fluxes throughout the estuary?            [TAC 1/4]


7.   Suspended particulates remove pollutants from the aqueous

     phase.  What impact does reduction in sediment loads have on

     dissolved pollutant levels and on nutrient levels and

     turbidity in the estuary?                          [TAC 1/4a]


8.   Changes in sediment fluxes and Bay hydrodynamics interact.

     How have the sedimentation rates and patterns in the estuary

     been affected by this interaction?                 [TAC 1/4b*]


9.   Altered sedimentation rates and patterns give rise to

     changes in the Bay bathymetry over time. Is there a need to

     update the bathymetric charts of the Bay?           [MAC 81*]







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D.  EFFECTS ON BIOLOGICAL RESOURCES

    To what extent have reductions of freshwater inflow affected

    biological productivity in the ·stuary?          [TAC 1/3)

10.  The productivity of Suisun Bay depends on adequate

     freshwater flows to maintain the null zone in the Bay.  How

     should freshwater inflows be znanaged to maintain or restore

     fisheries Productivity?                          (TAC 1/3c]


11.  Larval stages of important organisms such as English sole,

     Dungeness crabs, and flounder are transported to their

     nursery grounds by gravitational circulation which is driven

     by freshwater inflow.  To what extent does the lower

     freshwater inflow reduce fisheries productivity? [TAC 1/3b*]


12.  Survival of young stages of striped bass and salmon has been

     correlated to freshwater inputs from the Delta.  What

     management strategies are available to maximize fisheries

     productivity?                                    [TAC 1/3a*]


13.  Reduced freshwater inflows imply increased water diversions

     from the Delta by pumping.  The pumps entrain fish eggs and

     larvae, and losses of fish occur at the screens.  How

     significant is this factor in the decline of anadroinous fish

     stocks in the estuary?                        [TAC 11l/2b*]


14.  Structures employed for water diversions also partially or

     completely block the access to spawning areas for some

     anadromous fish species.  What can be done to improve this

     situation?                                        [MAC 40*]



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E.  WITHIN-BAY WATER USE

15.  In addition to the inajor State and Federal diversion

     projects, water in the Delta is abstracted for Within-Bay

     uses.  How significant is this in determining the health of

    the estuary?                                       (MAC 59*]



P.  INFLOW OUALITY


16.  Water diversions and use in the agricultural areas in the

     Sacramento and San Joaquin catchments impact the quality of

     water in Delta inflows.  Is this detrimental to downstream

     uses of the water, such as by agriculture in the Delta?
                                                       [PAC 20*]


17.  Water diversions reduce the quality of downstream water.

     Are potable water supplies within the Bay-Delta area being

     adversely affected by upstream diversions?        [MAC 46*]





G.  PLOW REGIME


    How have changes in the flow regime in the Delta impacted

    the health of the estuary?                         [MAC 30*]


18.  The overall reduction in freshwater inflows to the Delta has

     been accompanied by changes in the flow regime.  How does

     the flow regime contribute to the effects of inflows on the

    estuary?                                              [NEW*]



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19. Damming of upstream waters in the Sacramento and San Joaguin

    Valleys and offstream storage provides considerable storage

    capacity for freshwater.  Can the management of water

    diversions and inflows be improved to better protect the

    health of the estuary at  critical periods?

                                                       [NEW*]





II. MEASUREMENT OF INFLOWS


20. The importance of Delta inflows in influencing the overall

    health of the estuary is generally agreed.  However, the

    estimation of inflows involves the use of various

    assumptions.   Can measurements of inflows to the Delta be

    improved?                                        [TAC 1/5*]


























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PROBLEM AREA ~.  HOW DOES USE ~ LAND AND WETLAND5 AFFECT TIlE
                    BENEFICIAL USES1 PUBLIC HEALTH AND BIOLOGICAL
                    RESOURCES OF THE ESTUA~y?

     Land use on the margins of the Bay-Delta and (at least to

some extent) in the znore distant estuarine catchment area

influences the Bay-Delta ecosystem in many diverse ways.

Development of the margins of the Bay can affect the

hydrodynamics of the system, alter nutrient and sediment loads to

the Bay, and have impacts on the productivity and biological

diversity within the estuary.  Particular attention has been

focused on wetlands at the Bay-Delta margins;  past development

is estimated to have caused the loss of some 94% of the estuary's

historical wetlands area.  Wetlands are particularly important as

a unique wildlife habitat in the Bay-Delta, in addition to being

a recreational resource.  The remaining wetlands area and its

associated wildlife are at risk from future development and

possibly from the effects of pollution.


A. EFFECTS OF LAND USE


     How has past and how may future development of the margins of

     the estuary and its catchment affect the Bay?     [NEW  *]


21.  Land use influences the Bay-Delta partially through' water

     rights contracts.  What unused and unfilled water rights

     contracts exist at present within the catchment of the Bay?


                                                        [MAC  60 *]

22.  Delta islands are important agricultural areas, dependent on

     upstream water for irrigation.  What is the effect of the

     flooding of these islands on the Bay-Delta system?  [MAC 76*]



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23. Land use issues, and in particular, wetlands areas, may

    influence the local climate and oxygen production in the

    Bay-Delta.  Can such effects be quantified and controlled?

                                                        [PAC 12*]


24. Development of the Bay-Delta margins for general urban

    growth or transportation needs causes changes in the shape

    of the estuary and its hydrodynamics, with a range of

    consequences.  Have topographic changes of this type in the

    past (and will anticipated future changes) affected

    estuarine resources significantly?   [TAC 11/2a*, PAC 51*]



25. Past development of the Bay-Delta margins has been largely

    of a piecemeal nature, with many different agencies involved.

    Can coordination be improved to reduce the overall impact of

    future development of the estuarine margins?      [PAC 52*]





B.  EXTENT OF REMAINING WETLANDS

    While it is claimed that some 94% of the historic wetlands

    area in the Bay-Delta has been lost, no complete agreement

    exists as to the areas of remaining wetlands, their

    individual importance, or their risk of development.

                                                           [NEW *]


26. No acceptable definition of "wetlands" has been agreed.  How

    should this term be defined;  in particular, should so-

    called "seasonal wetlands" be included?     [MAC 3*/PAC 43*]



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27. There exists no up-to-date map of the coastal fringes of the

    Bay-Delta showing wetland areas and impending developmental

    areas.  Should such a map be prepared (and updated

    regularly) for coordinated coastal zone planning purposes?

                                       [MAC 6*, PAC 2,3,5,8,13 *]




28. Concern exists over the abundance of eelgrass in the Bay-

    Delta, and the loss of eelgrass areas.  What is the extent

    of past losses of eelgrass and what are the causative

     factors for this loss?                         [MAC 66,67 *j





29. Events outside the Bay-Delta system may also threaten

    wetlands and other riparian habitats.  These include major

    oceanographic and climatological disturbances, which could

     cause changes in tidal heights.  What can be done about

     this?                              [MAC 37,71 *, PAC 4,45 *]







C.  EFFECTS OF LOSS OF WETLANDS



    Wetlands and other riparian areas provide unique habitats,

    especially for birds and certain endangered species.  In

    addition, they may be important in respect of primary

    productivity and as nursery areas for Bay organisms.

                                                      [TAC 11/1*]




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30.  Compared to most other major estuaries, primary productivity

     in the Bay-Delta is unusually low.  Is habitat modification

     and loss contributing to this low productivity, and would

     the estuary benefit from enhancement of primary product ion?

                                                     [TAC I1/la*~


31.  Coastal fishery stocks depend on the availability of

     adequate nursery areas.  To what extent has coastal

     development reduced fisheries?                    [TAC Il/lb)



32.  Wetlands, including riparian areas, are especially important

     as habitats for birds, either seasonally or year-round.  How

     are migratory and resident birds being affected by the loss

     or changes in such habitats in the Bay-Delta?

                                      [TAC ll/lc*, MAC 23,32,36 *j



33.  Certain endangered species are found only in wetlands.

     What is the population status of these species and how will

     further changes in such habitats affect them?

                                      [TAC Il/Id *, MAC 24,68,69 *]




D.   WETLANDS AND POLLUTION

         Given their position at the Bay-Delta margins, wetlands

     lie between pollutant sources and sinks in many cases.  This


     creates conflicts in respect of beneficial uses.

                                                            [NEW *j


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34. Urban run-off `nay enter wetlands en route to rivers or

    the Bay.  How does this affect the run-off characteristics

    and are the habitats at risk from containinants present in

     urban run-off?                                  [MAC 16,17 *]


35. Effluents from sewage treatinent plants `nay also be

    discharged to wetlands areas.  Is this an acceptable

     practice?                               [TAC II/3a*, MAC 35*j


36. Soine indications of high contaminant levels exist for bird

    species using wetlands in the Bay-Delta and its catchment.

    What effects are containinant levels having on bird

    populations at present, particularly in respect of

     reproduction?                                         [NEW *]




E.  MANAGEMENT OF RIPARIAN HABITATS


    Partly because of previous losses of wetlands and other

    unique habitats on the Bay-Delta margins, concern exists at

    present over the efficient management and protect ion of

    remaining areas.  Decisions on the restoration and creation

    of such habitats and the mitigation of impacts thereon are

    required.

                                                       [TAC 11/3*]










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37.  The existing division of responsibilities for protecting

     wetlands may not be ideal.  How effective is the current

     process, and what additional regulatory/management

     policies are needed to adequately protect these diminishing

     resources?                                    [MAC 27*,PAC 7*]





38.  Concern exists in particular over the issue of public access

     to wildlife habitats.  How can recreational activities in

     such habitats be managed both to ensure their continued

     protection, and to maximize the recreational opportunities

     provided by such areas?                [MAC 42*, PAC 26,27*]


39.  Loss of open space, including wetlands, reduces the quality

     of life for Bay-Delta residents.  What impact has this

     factor had on economic growth in the Bay area?      [PAC 6*]


40.  Current mitigation practices include land banking --

     developing one wetland while creating another.   Is this

     ecologically sound?                               [TAC Il/3b]


41.  Management of the Bay-Delta margins could include restora-

     tion of previously degraded wetlands.  Is such restoration

     likely to be ecologically successful?            [TAC II/3c?












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PROBLEM AREA III. HOW DOES WATERWAY MODIFICATION AFFECT THE
                     BENEFICIAL  USES,   PUBLIC   HEALTH   AND
                     BIOLOGICAL RESOURCES OF THE ESTUARY?

     Extensive waterway modifications have taken place in the San

Francisco Bay-Delta.  In the Bay itself, such modifications

include the construction of breakwaters, the development of

harbors and marinas, and the dredging of navigation channels.  In

the riverine system, channels are modified in respect of their

width and depth, and dams and levees are constructed to divert or

store waters.  Such modifications of waterways impact the estuary

mostly through direct influences on water flow patterns or

residence times, or by altering sediment fates, or by changing

the historical salinity regime.

     The activities associated with waterway modifications

(dredging of material and its disposal elsewhere) are deemed to

be distinct from the modifications themselves, as their impacts

on sediment transport and contaminant distributions in the

estuary largely relate to pollutant issues.  These activities are

thus covered in problem area IV.



     How haye waterway modifications affected the Bay-Delta in

     the past, and can their impacts be ameliorated?      [NEW*j


42.  The dredging of navigation and flow enhancement channels in

     the Bay and the Delta may have adversely affected water flow

     patterns and the distributions of particular habitats.  How

     may past impacts be reduced, and can the effects of future

     modifications be predicted?                           [NEW*]


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43.  The changes in width and depth of Delta channels influence

     flow and residence times, giving rise to altered patterns of

     salinity intrusion.  What is the quantitative effect of such

     changes in the past and are such events of critical

     importance, e.g. in low flow years?               [MAC 82*]


44.  The dredging of channels in the Bay and Delta may alter the

    movement of groundwater through the estuary.    What effects

    might this have?                                  [MAC 22*]


45.  Waterway modifications may affect the hydrodynamics of the

     Bay, particularly in the Delta;  this in turn may alter

     contaminant distributions and transport.  Are detrimental

     effects occurring due to such factors?         [TAC II1/2c*]


46.  The rehabilitation of levees influences riparian habitats.

     Are flora and fauna of such habitats seriously affected by

     these factors?
                                            [TAC I11/2a* MAC 31*]


47.  The repair, maintenance and rehabilitation of levees in the

     Delta influence water quality, especially in respect of

     salinity intrusions.  What are the effects of such activi-

     ties on potable water supplies in the Delta?       [PAC 23*]


48.  The development of breakwaters, harbors and marinas

     influences sediment fate in the estuary by creating areas of

     slack water where sediments may accumulate.  Do such areas

     create hot-spots of high sediment contamination and does

     this have significant impacts on Bay-wide water quality?
                                                           [NEW*]

                            ~ r' -1 ru
                    San Francisco Bat  1)t~ii~

                              19

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                      Aquaiic Habitat In~Ii~uIe___________________________


PROBLEM AREA IV. ROW DO IN-PLACE, POINT-SOURCE AND NON POINT-

                 SOURCE POLLUTANTS AFFECT THE BENEFICIAL USES1

                 PUBLIC HEALTH AND BIOLOGICAL RESOURCES OF THE

                 ESTUARY?


     The San Francisco Bay-Delta ecosystem is subjected to

considerable loads of contaminants from diverse point and non-

point sources.  In addition, concentrations of some contaminants

are known to be significantly elevated in some portions of the

estuary.  The distribution and biological effects of these

contaminants have been poorly characterized, despite the

expenditure of very considerable sums on monitoring programs.

There is a need for improved coordination of research in the Bay-

Delta on pollutants.  In particular, the demonstration of cause

and effect relationships for pollutants in the Bay-Delta

ecosystem is required.  Problems exist in respect of the

characterization of pollutant sources and distribution in the

estuary;  in defining the biological effects of pollutants in the

Bay-Delta;  in selecting study methods;  and in respect of the

management and regulation of contaminants in the estuary.





A. CHARACTERIZATION OF SOURCES AND DISTRIBUTIONS OF CONTAMINANTS


   Despite considerable effort and expenditure on monitoring

   contaminant sources and distributions within the Bay-Delta,

   present knowledge is fragmentary and inadequate in many

   respects.                                [TAC Iv/l*, MAC 84*~



                           ir~~ ~,` Nih
                      Sun Frun~i~co But - Deiiu

                               20

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                       Aquaik Habi~a~ InstiIu~e___________________________


49.  The contributions of various sources to overall contaminant

     loads to the Bay-Delta are poorly defined.  Which sources

     are predominant for each contaminant type, and how can the

     existing database be improved?  [Sources considered should

     include point discharges (industrial and municipal), urban

     run-off, agricultural run-off, vessel-related pollution,

     spills, landfill leachates, atmospheric deposition, dredging

     and dumping, and inputs from rivers entering the Bay].

                   [TAC 1V/la,b*, MAC 9,64,65,83*, PAC 18,28,48*]


50.  Certain areas of the estuary are known td be particularly

     contaminated by one or more pollutants.  What are the loca-

     tions of Bay-Delta "hot-spots" and what major sources cause

     this contamination?                                  [MAC 44*]


51.  Baseline data are required, against which to measure future

     trends in contaminant levels in the Bay-Delta.  Are existing

     monitoring programs sufficient for this purpose;     if not,

     which programs should be introduced?                 [PAC 32*]


52.  Some data suggest that pollutants are affecting the

     populations of certain fish species in the Bay-Delta.  Are

     data on fish populations adequate to discern trends

     accurately; if not, how can they be improved?     [MAC 32*]


53.  The open coastal waters of Northern California are relative-

     ly pristine.  Does the estuary export significant quantities

     of contaminants to this environment?               [TAC IV/lc]





                      Sun Francisco Bat - Delia

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                       Aquatic H~bjiat In~IiruIe__________________________




54.  Total contaminant loads to the Bay have generally increased

     with urbanization.  Can the historical record of contaminant

     abundance be reconstructed through the analysis of sediment

     cores and be used to set environmental goals?   [TAC IV/Id]


55.  The accumulation of certain contaminants in parts

     of the Bay-Delta is considered to be a threat to some orga-

     nisms.  What aspects of knowledge on the bio-availability of

     these contaminants need to be clarified to fully assess this

     threat?                                           [TAC IV/lej







B. BIOLOGICAL EFFECTS OF POLLUTANTS


   Concentrations of Contaminants which are potentially harmful

   have been detected in sediment, water and organisms of the

   Bay-Delta estuary.  However, little is known of their actual

   effects on estuarine biota or on human health.

                                                         [TAC IV/3]


56.  Some stream waters entering the estuary exhibit significant

     toxicity in bioassays.  What is the contribution of agricul-

     tural run-off and pesticides to this phenomenon?  Should

     additional testing be undertaken?

                                [TAC IV/3f*, MAC 25,28*, PAC 41*]







                     San Francisco Baa - D~Ii~i

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                      Aquaik Habitat InstiIute___________________________



57.  Diluted effluents from industrial and municipal point

     sources also exhibit toxicity, to phytoplan)tton and other

     biota.   What impacts do these discharges exert in the Bay-

     Delta itself?  Could the discharges be better located?

                                  [TAC IV/3c*, MAC 48*, PAC 21*]

58.  Both dredging and dumping release large quantities of

     sediment into the water column, increasing the turbidity of

     Bay waters.  Does this significantly affect primary

     productivity in the estuary?                  [TAC 11I/la*]


59.  The movement of sediments through dredging and dumping

     activities may mobilize contaminants and re-introduce these

     to the water column, either in dissolved form or in

     association with sediment particles.  How significant is

     this factor in the estuary?           [TAC I11/lb*, MAC 20*]


60.  Dumping sites in the Bay have been selected because of high

     dispersive capacities;  however, little is known of where

     dredged material is actually transported to in the Bay.  The

     accumulation of spoil dumped at Alcatraz is of particular

     concern.  Can current practices and dumping areas be better

     selected to protect the estuary?                     [Nsw*]


61.  Some estuarine sediments have been shown to be toxic to Bay

     Delta biota.  What locations harbor toxic sediments and what

     effects do these have on biota in the estuary?

                                           [TAC IV/3g*, MAC 5,7*]





                               r' . vI
                     San Francisco Baa - Delia

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                           Aquaik Habiiai In~tiIu~e___________________________

62.   Samples collected from the sea-surface Thicrolayer from urban

      bays in Puget Sound and elsewhere have been shown to be

      highly toxic to eggs and larvae of commercial fish.   Is

      there a similar problem in the Bay-Delta estuary?

                                                                  [TAC IV/3e]


63.   Tributyl tin (TBT)  is widely used on vessels berthed in the

      estuary.   TBT use has been shown to contribute to the

      decline of shellfish in European estuaries.   Is there a

      similar problem in the Bay-Delta estuary?         [TAC IV/3d]


64.   It is widely believed that populations of several Bay-Delta

      species have declined over the last 20 years.   Reproductive

      impairment has been documented in some species of fish.   To

      what extent have pollutants contributed to this decline?

                                                              [TAC IV/3a,b*]


65.   Concern has been expressed over the hoineporting of vessels

      in the Bay-Delta.       Do such vessels constitute a threat to

      Bay-Delta biota?                                              [PAC 55*]


66.   Contaminants.pose a particular threat to public health if

      they are present in potable water supplies.   Are such

      potable waters of acceptable guality at present?

                                                                    [PAC 22*]












                                    ~~, ` v'  vI                             ________________
                             San Francisco Baa  Delia

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                      Aquatk Habiia~ In~riiu~e____________________________


67.  Shellfish in the Bay-Delta are not presently commercially

     harvested for human consumption , due to microbial and

     chemical pollution.  What are the economic losses from this?

     Does non-commercial exploitation constitute a threat to

     public health?                     [TAC IV/3h,i*1 MAC 62,63*j


68.  Species other than shellfish in the Bay-Delta also accumu-

     late parasites, inicrobial agents and contaminants of various

     types.  Is public health at risk from the consumption of

     these species?                                 [TAC IV/3h,3'*]



C.   STUDY NETHODS

     Progress in characterizing the abundance and biological

     effects of contaminants in the Day-Delta depends upon the

     use of the best available methodology, continuing

     enhancement of study methods, and high standards of quality

     assurance and quality control in all investigations.

                                                        [TAC IV/2*J



69.  It is currently impossible to derive a comprehensive picture

     of chemical distribution in the Bay-Delta ecosystem because

     of inadequate standardization of study methods and analyti-

     cal techniques.  How should quality assurance and quality

     control procedures be implemented within the Bay-Delta

     research community?                                [TAC IV/2a]







                                 r' -1
                      San Francisco Baa  Delia

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                       Aquatic Hab1.iat In~ti£u~e____________________________

70.  Regulatory agencies have recently developed a broader

     approach to the evaluation of toxicity of waste discharges.

     Despite this, there is disagreement on the selection of

     appropriate toxicity tests for environmental regulation.

     Which tests provide the most meaningful basis for regulatory

     decisions?                                        [TAC IV/2b]


71.  Acute bioassays do not adequately predict most kinds of

     chronic or latent effects of toxicants on biota.  Is it

     possible to select bioassays that predict such effects?

                                                       [TAC IV/2c]

72.  Bay-Delta sediments contain concentrations of PAHs and

     metals which could be acutely toxic to organisms.  However,

     bioassay testing of Bay sediments on a variety of species

     has produced highly conflicting results among tests.  How

     can the toxicity of sediments be accurately predicted in

     order to establish sediment quality criteria?   [TAC IV/2d]


73.  Present monitoring programs documenting contaminant concen-

     trations in water, sediment and organisms report large

     numbers of measurements below detection limits, reducing

     value for money and the worth of the database in evaluation

     of Bay-Delta problems.  What steps can be taken to avoid

     this waste of resources?                          [TAC IV/2e]


74.  Current monitoring indices (e.g. the striped bass health

     index) used for evaluating fish stocks are relied upon

     heavily.   How accurate are such indices and can they be

     improved?                                         [TAC 1V/2f*]



                       San Francisco Bat  Delia

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                       Aquaiic Habitat Institute___________________________


75.  Hundreds of millions of dollars are spent annually on moni-

     toring contaminant fates and effects in aquatic environments

     in the U.S.  However, very little attention is paid to the

     use of these data or the coordination between programs when

    they are designed.      How can this dilemma best be avoided in

    Bay-Delta studies?                                 [TAC IV/2g]


76.  Research has indicated correlations of many factors in the

     Bay-Delta ecosystem, including those concerning the impact

     of contaminants on Bay resources.  However, the establish-

     ment of definitive cause and effect relationships is elusive.

     What studies should be done to remedy this situation?

                                                        [TAC IV/2h]


77.  Recent syntheses of long-term studies of bottom communities

     have provided great insight into temporal and spatial

     trends.  What other long-term studies of living resources

     are required to differentiate between natural and anthropo-

    genic causes of change?                             [TAC IV/2i]





D.  REGtLATORY AND XANAGEMENT CONCERNS


     The control of contaminant discharges to the Bay-Delta

     receiving waters relies upon a complex regulatory procedure,

     involving the issue of discharge permits, the setting of

     water quality objectives, the requirement for treatment of

     wastes, and many other activities by various State and

    Federal agencies.                                     [NEW*)



                       San Francisco Baa  Delia

                                  27

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                       Aquaik Habiiai Instirule___________________________


78.  Water quality objectives are breached for some toxicants in

     certain portions of the Bay-Delta.  Which areas are these

     and what can be done to avoid this scenario?  Are existing

     waste treatment practices adequate?      [MAC 12,33,45,51*]


79.  Future urban growth on the Bay-Delta Tnargins and in the

     catchment is likely to give rise to increased loadings of

     toxicants to receiving waters.  What is the projected growth

     in loads and how can this be accommodated?        [MAC 77*]


80.  Urban and agricultural run-off are thought to be the source

     of considerable loads of certain types of contaminants in

     the estuary.  How can these inputs be controlled;  in parti-

     cular, how effective is grading in the control of run-off?

                                                [MAC 34*, PAC 11*]


81.  Very large quantities of petroleum and products thereof are

     transported into and out of the Bay-Delta annually.  Are the

     currently available technology and the materials on hand

     adequate to deal with oil spills in the estuary?

                                         [MAC 73,74*, PAC 16,17*]


82.  The complexity involved in regulating contaminants within

     the Bay-Delta is matched by the competing beneficial uses of

     Bay-Delta waters, e.g. by upstream dischargers and down-

     stream users.  How can communication and coordination between

     agencies be improved?                               [PAC 39*]







                      San Fran~i~ro Bat  Delia

                                 28

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                        Aquatic Habitat Institute___________________________


83.  Federal, State and sometimes local regulations exist which

     relate to permissible contaminant levels in biota.

     However, such regulations are not always consistent.  Is

     existing legislation adequate and appropriate in this area?

                                                            [MAC 54*~









































                        San Franci~ca Baa - D~iia

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                      Aquatic Habiiui Insiiiuie___________________________



IV. THE FIRST SCREENING PROCESS

l.  CRITERIA EMPLOYED

    The criteria employed in the initial screening process of

the 83-problem consolidated list were provided by EPA Region Ix,

as agreed by the MAC meeting of 27 May 1987.  The three criteria

were as follows:

    *  Does the issue concern an impact on a number of resources

       or uses of the estuary?

    *  Does the issue have a systemwide impact?

    *  Does the issue have major local impacts?

    It should be noted that ranking each of the problems on the

basis of these three criteria was not a straightforward task.

This was a function of one or more of the following:

  (i)  The problems ranged in nature from more generic to highly

       specific areas.   Problems of a more generic nature (i.e.

       covering a broader subject matter) are more likely to

       score well against the above criteria than those of a very

       specific nature.

  (ii) In some cases, a problem which was subjectively deemed to

       be of importance in the Bay-Delta did not surviVe the

       initial screening process. Thus, for example, problems

       relating specifically to fisheries, or birdlife, or

       endangered species, were considered in most cases to

       relate to single resources (and hence failed criterion l

       above).  It might be argued that these topics are

       actually related to multiple resources, as all involve




                     San Fran(i~f o Bat - I)elru

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                      Aquaiic Habi~ai Insiituie___________________________



      recreational activities also.   However, this argument is

      somewhat tenuous.  Had such concepts been employed

      throughout the screening process, almost all issues would

      have survived, as each part or property of the estuary is

      related in some fashion to multiple resources and to its

      overall health.  For the initial screening process to have

      some value, the criteria were thus employed strictly, and

      an attempt was made to avoid more tenuous connections

      between different facets or properties of estuarine

      resources.

(iii) In certain cases, the criteria did not specifically

      relate to the problem listed.  An example is question 20,

      related to the need for improvements in Delta flow

      measurements.  The actual measurement of this parameter

      does not relate properly to any of the criteria above,

      although inflow quantity her se and its change with time

      is thought to be of considerable importance in defining the

      health of the Bay resources.  In this case, a pragmatic

      approach was taken to the problem.  It was reasoned that

      if inflow measurements provided data approximating actual

      flows (and generally reflected flow variations with time

      accurately), this problem would not be paramount in

      importance.  Similar approaches were taken elsewhere,

      both in the first and second screening process.








                     Sun Francisco Baa - D~IIa

                                31

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               PAqua£ic Habiiai InsIiIu~e___________________________

  Despite such drawbacks (which would exist whichever criteria

were chosen), the initial screening process is considered to be a

useful tool in selecting the problems of greatest impact in the

Bay-Delta.  It might also be noted here that weighting of

criteria or scoring within criteria were both considered as

methods of refining the first screening process. These were

rejected, however, as being insufficiently objective in nature

(and not previously agreed by either the MAC or EPA). Individual

problems were thus scored as "l" (passes criterion) or ll0ll (fails

criterion). Scoring was conducted independently by four

technical staff members of AHI producing rather uniform results.

The authors jointly evaluated those problems which were not

uniformly rated by the four scorers and arrived at a consensus.

Scoring on this basis is depicted in Table l; the following

sections discuss the results by major category.


2.INFLOW

  While Delta inflow is widely believed to be important in its

effects on the San Francisco estuary, only 5 of the 20 problems

(25%) relating to inflow on the consolidated list survived the

initial screening process. A variety of reasons exist for this,

as shown in the "remarks" column of Table l. The two main

reasons for failure in the screening process were either a lack

of systemwide impact in respect of some problems (e.g. those

concerned with gravitational circulation, or the South Bay or

Delta areas only) or a lack of impact on more than one resource

(e.g. those problems relating to agriculture, fisheries or

potable water only).

        ____________i~i_____________
                  ~ r' ~?`
          San Francisco Bay . Delia

                     32

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         one prooieni pa~~e~  u inwcaie~ one pro~iem iaii~ ~ ~~~~i~ ~r'~ cn~non K~a~on? ior brie iaiier are. i~ven
         in the remark~co1umn.

               impact on    Su3temvideMajor local
 Number     everal rcsourcc~  Impact     1mpact~                 REMARKS
               or used
    /N.~Q~ ?`~."
___                             1                  SURVIVES SCREENING
         2                      1           1      SURVIVES SCREENING
                   1            O           1      NORTHERNREACHONLV
         4         I            O           1      SOUTH BAY ONLY
         5         1            O           1      DELTA ONLY
         6         O            O           1      AGRICULTURE AND DELTA ONLY
         7         1            1           1      SURVIVES SCREENING
                   1            O           1      MAINLY DELTA AND NORTHERN REACH
         9         O            1           1      BATHYMETRY AND VESSEL TRAFFIC ONLY
        10         O            O           1      FISHERIES AND NORTHERN REACH ONLY
        11         O            1           1      FISHERIES ONLY
        12         O            1           1      FISHERIES ONLY
        13         O            1           O     FISHERIESONLY' PROBABLYNOT MAJOR LOCAL IMPACT
        14         O            1           1      FISHERIES ONLY
        15         1            O           1      DELTA ONLY
        16         1            O           1      bELtAbNLY
       1 7         O            O           1      POTABLE WATER AND NORTHERN REACH ONLY
        1 ~        1            1           1      SURVIVES SCREENING
        19         1            1           1      SURVIVES SCREENING
        20         O            O           O      NOTCENTRALTO INFLOW EFFECTS

        21        1             1           1      SURVIVES SCREENING
        22        O             O           1      AGRICULTURE MAINLY- DELTA MAINLY
        23        1             1           1      SURVIVES SCREENING
        24        1             1           1      SURVIVES SCREENING
        25        1             1           1      SURVIVES SCREENING
                  1             1           1      SURVIVES SCREENING
        27        1             1           1      SURVIVES SCREENING
       2S-        1             1           1      SURVIVES SCREENING
        29        1             1           1      SURVIVES SCREENING
        30        1             1                  SURVIVES SCREENING
        31        O             1           1      FISHERIES ONLY
        32        O             1           1      BIRD LIFE ONLY
       331        O             1           1      ENDANGERED SPECIES ONLY
        34        1             1           1      SURVIVES SCREENING
        35        1             O           1      PROBABLYONLY LOCAL EFFECTS
                  O             1           1      BIRD POPULATIONS ONLY
        37        1             1           1      SURVIVES SCREENING
         3        O             1           1      RECREATION ONLY
        39        O             1           1      ECONOMICS ONLY
        40        1             1           1      SURVIVES SCREENING
        41        1             1           1      SURVIVES SCREENING




                                            33

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          T~b1e 1. (Continued).


              Impact on     ~~temvideMajor local
Number   everal re:ourcc:  impact    impect~
               or use:                                           RIEMARKS
fr4 Tt~~.4)~'

        42                       O           1      UNLIKELYTOBESYSTEMWIDEINEFFECT
        43        1              O           1      DELTAONL~
        44        O              O           1      LOCAL IMPACTSONLY LIKELY
        45        1              I           I      SURVIVES SCREENING
        46        0              0           I      LOCAL EFFECTS ON WILDLIFE ONLY
        47        O              O           I      POTABLE WATER AND DELTA ONLY
        48        I              I           1      SURVIVES SCREENING
  L~ 1'7~~VTS
        49        1              I           1      SURVIVES SCREENING
        50        I              O           I      LOCAL BY DEFINITION
        51        1              I           I      SURVIVES SCREENING
        52        O              I           I      FISHERIES ONLY
        53        I              O           I      NOT ESTUARY RELATED AS SUCH
        54        1              I           I      SURVIVES SCREENING
        55        I              1           I      SURVIVES SCREENING
        56        I              1           1      SURVIVES SCREENING
        57        1              1           I      SURVIVES SCREENING
        58        1              I           I      SURVIVES SCREENING
        59        1              1           1      SURVIVES SCREENING
        60        1              I           I      SURVIVES SCREENING
        61        1              I           I      SURVIVES SCREENING
        62        O              I           1      FISHERIES ONLY
        63        1              O           I      LOCAL EFFECTS ONLY PROBABLY
        64        O              1           1      FISHERIES ONLY
        65        1              O           I      LOCALEFFECTSONLYPROBA~LY
        66        O              1           1      POTABLE WATER ONLY
        67        1              O           1      SHELLFISH BEDS NOT SYSTEMWIDE
        6P        1              I           O      NOT LOCAL IN NATURE
        69        1              I           I      SURVIVES SCREENING
        70        1              1           1      SURVIVES SCREENING
        71        1              1           I      SURVIVES SCREENING
        72        1              1           1      SURVIVES SCREENING
        73        1              1           1      SURVIVES SCREENING
        74        O              1           O      FISHERIES ONLY; NOT LOCAL IN NATURE
        75        1              I           1      SURVIVES SCREENING
        76        1              1           1      SURVIVES SCREENING
        77        1              1           1      SURVIVES SCREENING
                  1              1           1      SURVIVES SCREENING
        79        I              I           I      SURVIVES SCREENING
        80        I              I           I      SURVIVES SCREENING
        81        1              I           I      SURVIVES SCREENING
        82        I              I           O      NOT LOCAL IN NATURE
        83        I              I           I      SURVIVES SCREENING




                                             34

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                     Aqualic Habiiai Jnsiiiu~e__________________________

     Freshwater inflow into the Bay through the Delta is (and has

been) the subject of study by many organizations and is the

central topic of the State Water Resources Control Board Hearings


commenced in mid-1987.  Many of the previous and ongoing studies
have been concerned with understanding impacts of inflows on

single resources, such as agriculture or fisheries.  The mandate
of the EPA Bay-Delta Project and the limited funds available for


developing information and methods to protect Bay-Delta resources

suggest that Project funds should be directed toward inflow

questions which are clearly related to managment actions to

control impacts on multiple resources or uses of the estuary.

     The five problems relating to inflow which survived the

initial screening process fall naturally into three groups, as

follows:

(i)    Problems l and 2 relate to inixing of Bay-Delta waters and

       residence times within the estuary, as influenced by Delta

       inflow rates.

(ii)   Problem 7 concerns the impact of sediment flux through

       the estuary, which has been altered with the change in

       inflow rates.  This is likely to be significant in respect

       of nutrient and turbidity levels in the estuary and may

       influence dissolved contaminant levels in the system.

(iii)  Problems 18 and 19 both concern the flow regime, as

       opposed to total inflow quantities ner se.  This topic was

       proposed for inclusion in the MAC meeting of 27 May 1987.

       These problems are considered of high priority, as in a

       pragmatic sense it is far more likely that inflow regimes




                    ~£in Franci.sco But  D('I1u

                                35

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                  Aquaiic Habilai In~iiiu1e___________________________


     could be subsL-antially altered in t'~e estuary

     management strategies, than that total inflow c~~ -I·~I~

     could be significantly changed.




3.LAND USE

    Of 21 original problems in the consolidated lI£~, 5C~ffl

survived the initial screening process (62%). This hic.~ ~`~c~.~

rate is a function of the general importance of facz-zr~ r=~&

to land use in deter~nining the health of tee estuarrn.ne :~3~L- -

    Problems in this category which failed the inl$:i&-l

process did so mainly because of a lack of impact o:~ i:~t:ffi ~i)~ffi~

resc~rces or uses of the est'~ary. The 00~nLent5 in s~c-~~: l

above are relevant to this topic; this criterIon

strictly in order to reduce the problem list to a n~na~~~--rn

    Problems passing the criteria used in initial c~~ern~~:- ~

fall into two general groups, relating to pact an& Jt'J~?.

development of the Bay-Delta maroins and its contr~l, an t~

host of issues concerning wetlands. Topics concerning wet~~~

were succe~sft~1 5n p~ss1n~ +:~~ scr~~-~~p~       -~~

of the scarcity of remaining wetland areas (hence  c-r

importance as a unique habitat) and their probable or

demonstrated effects on both the Bay-Delt~ as a Whbffi3

portions o-~ the estuary. In~uf flcient data eyIst on t:-

iinportance of wetlands to the Bay-Delta ecosystem; funds

from the Bay-Delta project coulQ' help to redress this.






_ __ _ ______~1£1____                      _ _      _

              Sun ~~ran~i~~o Bud - D('I1Q

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                      Aquatic Habi~aI In~*iguie___________________________


4.  WATERWAY MODIFICATION

    The consolidated list of problems contained only 7

individual issues in this category.  Of these, 2 passed the

initial screening process (29%).  The problems which failed did

not relate significantly to multiple resources or uses in the

estuary (numbers 44, 46 and 47) and/or were not considered to be

of major systemwide impact (all problems except 45 and 48).

    The two problems in this category which survived the

screening process are related to each other.  Problem 45 concerns

the impacts of waterway modifications on the hydrodynamics of the

Bay-Delta, and hence on contaminant distributions within the

estuary.  Problem 48 is a more specific topic in the same general

area, dealing with sedimentation and contaminant build-up in

areas of poor flushing created by the development of harbors and

marinas.  Certain areas of this type in the Bay are known to

exhibit highly elevated levels of toxicants in sediments,

although whether these affect water quality of the Bay as a whole

is uncertain.



5. POLLUTANTS

    This constituted the largest category in the consolidated

problem list, with a total of 35 issues.  Some 23 of these

survived the screening process (66%), a success rate similar to

that in the land use category.









                      San Fran<~i~co Bat

                                 37

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$                       Aquatic Habitat 1n~titute____________________________



The problems relating to pollutants which failed the

screening process did so for a variety of reasons, as shown in

Table l.  Some were of Tnajor concern to only a single resource in

the estuary (e.g. wildlife, fisheries, potable water, shellfish

beds).  Others were not systemwide in their impact (e.g.

pollutant hot-spots, tributyltin effects, shell fisheries).

Finally, some were not-of major local iinpact (e.g. fish stock

monitoring).

     The 23 problems surviving initial screening in this category

are best grouped under their headings shown in the consolidated

list of problems.  These are:


 (i)   Characterization of contaminant sources and distributions:

       problems 49, 51, 54, and 55.

 (ii)  Biological effects of pollutants: problems 56 to 61.

(iii)  Study methods: problems 69 to 73, and 75 to 77.

 (iv)  Regulatory and management concerns: problems 78 to 81, and

       83.


It is notable here that despite the expenditure of largc- =um~ of

money in the past on monitoring contaminants in the Bay-Delta,

issues relating to characterization of their sources and

distributions continue to be of concern.  In particular,

contaminant transport and remobilization through dredging and

dumping activities in the estuary is an issue considered worthy

of attention.  Problems relating to study methods were also

highly successful in surviving the initial screening process,

suggesting that these issues are important and that the existing



                      Sun Francisco Bat - D~iia

                                 38

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F                      Aquaiic Habiiat Instiiu*e___________________________

database on contaminants in the estuary is inadequate due to

methodological problems.  Regulatory and management concerns

scored well in initial screening;  many of these problems are

generic in nature and `nay have significant impacts on multiple

Bay resources or uses, both systemwide and in local areas.



6. SUMMARY OF INITIAL SCREENING PROCESS

     The 83 problems on the consolidated list were ranked against

three criteria provided by the EPA and agreed by the MAC at their

meeting of 27 May 1987.  No weighting was accorded to the

criteria, as these processes were deemed to be insufficiently

objective in nature.  Individual problems were scored as "l"

(passes) or "o" (fails) on each criterion, and were considered to

have survived the initial screening process if they passed all

three criteria employed.

     In the four major problem categories (inflow, land use,

waterway modification and pollutants), overall success rates in

surviving the initial screening process were 25%, 62%, 29% and

66% respectively.  The low success rate in the inflow category

related to either a lack of major systemwide impact in respect of

specific problems, or to a probable lack of impact on more than

one resource within the Bay.  It is noted that inflows to the Bay

are the subject of many ongoing studies which are heavily funded,

and will be considered in detail in the State Board Hearings

later this year.  The large numbers of problems relating to

wetlands and to pollutants surviving the screening process

reinforce the considerable attention paid to these areas by the



                     bun Frunci~co BUL Deli£i

                                39

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                      LAquatic Habi£al Institute___________________________







individual cominittees, and indeed by the Bay cominunity in

general.

     The initial screening process reduced the consolidated list

of 83 probleins to a total of 43.  It was felt that this number

was too great to perinit detailed consideration by the MAC at the

`fleeting of 9 July 1987.  A second screening process was thus

undertaken, on only those problems which had survived the initial

screening.







































                    Stin Fran~i~co Bud - Delia

                                40

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                      Aquaiic Habital 1nsii*u~e__________________________





V. THE SECOND SCREENING PROCESS

l. CRITERIA EMPLOYED

    The criteria employed in the second screening process

(applied only to the 43 problems surviving the initial screen)

were agreed by the MAC on 27 May 1987 and were as follows:

    *  Can the issue be studied within expected Project cost

       constrai~ts?

    *  Can the issue be addressed within the 5 year Project time


       frame?

    *  Can the issue be abated with control programs that would


       not be prohibitively expensive?

    *  Is the issue one which is not being adequately studied in

       the Bay now?

It is recognized that advice from the MAC meeting of 27 May was

that some important problems relating to the Bay-Delta ecosystem

might be omitted by application of the cost and time constraints

inherent in the above criteria.  However, the initial screening

process has reduced the number of problems in the ccnsolidated

list only to 43, which is considered too great for meaningful

consideration without an attempt at further screening.  In

addition, the funding and time constraints on the EPA Bay-Delta

Project are undoubtedly relevant to decisions on issues which

this particular project should address;  hence, these criteria

are seen as valid to identify such issues.

    It was necessary to approximately quantify certain cost-

related terms in the criteria employed in this screening process.



                     Sun Frun~i~~o But - Deiiu

                                4l

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                      Aquatic Habivat In~~iiute___________________________


"Expected Project cost constraints" were considered to be a total

of $2 inillion, available over the remaining 4 years of the Bay-

Delta Project.  This is approximately 50% of the likely total

budget through that period.  The question of "prohibitive

expense" of control measures is more difficult to deal with, as

the value of controls (the improvement in estuarine resources

generated by their introAuction) should be taken into account

(i.e. the exercise is of a cost-benefit nature essentially).  On

balance, it was considered that $100 million should be used as

the cut-off point to define "prohibitively expensive" controls.

There was no attempt to relate the cost to inferred benefits.


     As in the initial screening process, neither weighting of

criteria nor scoring within a criterion were employed in the

second screening of problems.  Individual problems were thus

scored as "l" (passes criterion) or "0" (fails criterion) .  The

results of the second screening process are shown in Table 2.  In

general, a higher percentage of problems survived screening

against the four criteria used here than was the case for the

initial screening process.  Problems which did not survive are

considered below.


2. INFLOW

     Problems l and 2 failed to survive the second screening

process.  This was largely due to the considerable costs involved

in attempting to significantly alter the mixing regimes or

residence times of Bay waters.  The tidal prism of the Bay is

already very considerable and could not easily be enhanced.



                      bun Franci~~o Bud DeI~u

                                42

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able 2. Results of the second screening proce~$ Problem numbers refer to those in the consolidated list "1
      indicMes the problem passes; "O indicates the problem fails to satisfy the criterion. Only problems
      survlvl nq Ifle 1 nltlal screening process considered.

              cost     Time    ~ontro1    Present
Number  constraints frame  ro~ram cost studies                   Remarks
   /.~.r~ Or's'
         1     1        1         O          O    E~'PENSIVE TO CONTROL USGS DWRSTUDY
         2     1        1         O          1    EXPENSIVE TO CONTROL
         3
         4
         5
         6
         7     1        1         1          1    SURVIVES SECOND SCREENING
         8
         q
        10
        11
        12
        13
        14
        15
        16
        17
               1        1         1          1    SURVIVES SECOND SCREENING
       1 9     1        1         1          1    SURVIVES SECOND SCREENING
        20

        21     1        1         1          1    SURVIVES SECOND SCREENING

       231     1        1         O          1    CONTROL NOT POSSIELE
        24     1        1         O          O    RETROSPECTIVE CONTROL UNLIKELY MOE)ELLING
        25     1        1         1          1    SURVIVES SECOND SCREENING
        26     1        1         1          1    SURVIVL~ SECOND SCREENING
        27     1        1         1          1    SURVIVES SECOND SCREENING
               1        1         1          1    SURVIVES SECOND SCREENING
        29     O        1         O          1    E~~PEN5IVE TO STUDY IMPOSSIBLE TO C04TROL
       301     1        1         1          1    SURVIVES SECOND SCREENING
        31
       321
       331
        34     1        1         1          1     URYIVES SECOND SCREENING
        35.'
        361
        37     1        1         1          1    SURVIVES SECOND SCREENING
       3cI
        39
       4''     1        1         1          1    SURVIVES SECOND SCREENING
        41     1        1         1          1    SURVIVES SECOND SCREENING




                                             43

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       TuuLi~ 2. (Cunbnu~).

             Co:t     Ii me   Control    Pre:ent
Number  constreint~ freme proqrom cost studies                       Remarks
W4 76:~L.~ ).
~`?/~.%r~ .T/LW

       42
       43
       44
        45     O        I         O              EXPENSIVE TO STUDY OR CONTROL
        46
        47
        48     1        1         1          I   SURVIVE SECOND SCREENING

        49                        1         O    PRESENTLY STUDIED AT AHI AND ELSEWHERE
        50
        51     I        1         1         1    SURVIVES SECOND SCREENING
        52
        53
        54     1        1         1         1    SURVIVES SECOND SCREENING
        55     O        O         O         1    VERY DIFFICULT AND COSTLY TO STUDY OR CONTROL
        56     1        1         O         O    DIFFICULT TO CONTROL,-CVRW()CB STUDY
        57     1        1         1         1    SURVIVES SECOND SCREENING
        58     1        1         1         1    SURVIVES SECOND SCREENING
        59     1        1         1         1    SURVIVES SECOND SCREENING
        60    ,1        1         1         1    SURVIVES SECOND SCREENING
        61     1        1         O         1    EXPENSIVE TO CONTROL
       62'
        63
        64
        65
        66
        67
        68
        69     1        1         1         1    SURVIVES SECOND SCREENING
        70     1        1         1         1    SURVIVES SECOND SCREENING*
        71     1        1         1         O    PRESENT STUDIES (STATE AND FEDERAL) ADEUU4TE
        72     1        1         1         O    PRESENT STUDIES (STATE AND FEDERAL) ADEOUATE
        73     1        1         1         1    SURVIVES SECOND SCREENING
        74
        75              1         1         1    SURVIVES SECOND SCREENING
        76     1        1         1         1    SURVIVES SECOND SCREENING
        77     O        O         1         1    EN PENSIVE TO STUDY AND LONG-TERM
        7o~    1        1         1         1    SURVIVESSECONDSCREENING*
        79     1        1         1         1    SURVIYESSECONDSCREENING*
        80     1        1         1         1    SURVIVESSECONDSCREENING*
        81     1        1         1         O    COASTGUARDRESPONSIBILITY
        82
        83     1        1         1         O    SWRC8/DHS/FDA RESPONSIBILITY

Ofl9oiflq ~tudie~ exist but could be ~upp1emented.



                                            44

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                      Aqualic Habzial Ins1i~uve___________________________


Significant improvements in flushing by enhancing inflow

quantities are also not likely to occur, given the continuing

demands for water from outside the Bay-Delta catch~ent area.



3.LAND USE

* Problem 23:  It is cost unlikely that wetland areas can be

  sufficiently increased over that presently existing to

  significantly affect either the local climate or oxygen

  production.

* Problem 24:  Modeling studies of Bay-Delta hydrodynamics have

been employed in the past (and can be used in future) to

investigate the influence of development on the Tflargins of the

estuary on water flows.  Past effects are most unlikely to be

controllable.

* Problem 29:  Major oceanographic and climatological events

  outside the Bay-Delta system cannot be controlled, and would be

  costly to study.



4.WATERWAY MQDTFICATION

  The detailed effects of waterway inodifications on Bay-Delta

hydrodynamics and contaminant distributions (problem 45) would be

costly to study, either by modeling or field studies;  both would

probably be required to resolve significant problems. The control

of such effects might also be expensive, at least if changes to

existing waterway depths or widths were required.







                     San Franci~ca Baa  D~Iia
                                45

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_______________________Aquatic Habi~a~ Jnsliiule

5.POLLUTANTS

* Problem 49:  AHI (and certain other organizations) are


  presently compiling data on contaminant sources and their

  distributions in the Bay-Delta, for the State Board hearings

  and the EPA Estuary Project.  Additional work on this topic is

  not considered necessary.

* Problem 55:  Much study is being undertaken on a world-wide


  basis on contaminant bio-a~ailability.  This topic is very

  broad and exceptionally complex.  It is considered unlikely

  that short-term projects could adequately address this area of

  work.

* Problem 56:  The control of agricultural run-off and consequent


  sporadic acute toxicity of streamwaters is very difficult to

  achieve, at least if pesticide use is to continue.  The Central

  Valley Regional Water Quality Control Board is expending

  considerable time and money on such problems currently.

* Problem 61:  The toxicity of Bay-Delta sediments may be


  redressed only through their removal or covering.  This process

  would be exceptionally costly if significant areas of sediments

  were involved;  additionally, the problem of disposal would be

  considerable.

* Problems 71 and 72:  EPA and other national organizations are

  undertaking large programs concerned with bioassay techniques.

  The Bay-Delta Project is unlikely to be able to significantly

  improve on this effort.

* Problem 77:  Resolution of this important question will depend

  on acquisition of a long-term database of high quality field

  observations.


                     Sun Francisco Baa - Deliu

                                46

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                      Aquatic Habitat Ins~iiuIe___________________________

* Problem 81:  Oversight of the control of oil spills is the

  responsibility of the US Coast Guard.

* Problem 83:  Regulations designed to protect public health are

  generally thought to be adequate in the Bay-Delta.  There is no

  evidence from epidemiological studies of significant problems.


6.SUMMARY OF SECOND SCREENING PROCESS

  Of 43 problems entering the second screening process, 28

survived.  These problems are considered to be of high priority

in the Bay-Delta ecosystem and worthy of further detailed

consideration.  The surviving problems are listed by category in

Table 3.

  Several individual problems or issues stand out from this list

as of greatest potential importance.  These are suggested to be

the following:

* Inflow regimes  (Problem l9)

     Given the continued and increasing demand for water from the

  Delta, it is likely that proposals to significantly increase

  total inflows of freshwater to the Bay would be vigorously

  opposed by proponents for competing demands.  The amelioration

  of the various effects of water diversions may thus be more

  likely to be successful through changes in the inflow regime,

  to protect critical areas or resources at particular times.

  Such practices exist already in respect of the control of

  saline intrusions, but could be extended to protect other

  resources, if this were found to be feasible.







                     San Francisco Baa  Delia

                                47

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                    Aquatk Habitat Ins£iiuie____________________________

Table 3. Problems surviving the two-stage screening process and
         considered to be of high priority for inore detailed
         study within the EPA Bay-Delta Project.



Category     Number*            Problem


Inflow          7          Suspended particulates remove
                           pollutants from the aqueous phase.
                           What impact does reduction in
                           sediment loads have on dissolved
                           pollutant levels and on nutrient
                           levels and turbidity in the
                           estuary?

               18          The overall reduction in freshwater
                           inflows to the Delta has been
                           accompanied by changes in the flow
                           regime.  How does the flow regime
                           contribute to the effects of
                           inflows on the estuary?

               19          Damming of upstream waters in the
                           Sacramento and San Joaquin provides
                           considerable storage capacity for
                           freshwater.  Can the management of
                           water diversions and inflows be
                           improved to better protect the
                           health of the estuary at critical
                           periods?

Land Use       21          Land use influences the Bay-Delta
                           partially through water rights
                           contracts. What unused and
                           unfilled water rights contracts
                           exist at present within the
                           catchment of the Bay?

               25          Past development of the Bay-Delta
                           margins has been largely of a
                           piecemeal nature, with many
                           different agencies involved.  Can
                           coordination be improved to reduce
                           the overall impact of future
                           development of the estuarine
                           margins?

               26          No acceptable. definition of
                           "wetlands" has been agreed. How
                           should this term be defined; in
                           particular, should so-called
                           "seasonal wetlands" beincluded?


           ______               i
                  San Francisco Bat  Delia
                             48

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                      Aqua~fr Habiiat Jn~tiiuie___________________________


Table 3. (Continued).


Category        Number*            Problem

Land Use (contd.)
                 27           There exists no up-to-date map of
                              the coastal fringes of the Bay-
                              Delta showing wetland areas and
                              impending developmental areas.
                              Should such a map be prepared (and
                              updated regularly) for coordinated
                              coastal zone planning purposes?

                 28           Concern exists over the abundance
                              of eelgrass in the Bay-Delta, and
                              the loss of eelgrass areas.  What
                              is the extent of past losses of
                              eelgrass and what are the causative
                              factors for this loss?

                 30           Compared to most other major
                              estuaries, primary productivity in
                              the Bay-Delta is unusually low.  Is
                              habitat modification and loss
                              contributing to this low
                              productivity, and would the estuary
                              benefit from enhancement of primary
                              production?

                 34           Urban run-off may enter riparian
                              areas en route to rivers or the
                              Bay.  How does this affect the run
                              off characteristics and are the
                              habitats at risk from contaminants
                              present in urban run-off?

                 37           The existing division of
                              responsibilities for protecting
                              riparian habitats, including
                              wetlands, may not be ideal.  How
                              effective is the current process,
                              and what additional
                              regulatory/management policies are
                              needed to adeguately protect these
                              diminishing resources?

                 40           Current mitigation policies include
                              land banking -- developing one
                              wetland while creating another.  Is
                              this ecologically sound?





                      San Francisco Baa - D~Iia

                                 49

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                      Aquaiic Habiiai In~iitute___________________________


Table 3. (Continued).


Category        Number*             Problem

Land Use (contd.)
                   41          Management of the Bay-Delta margins
                               could include restoration of
                               previously degraded wetlands.  Is
                               such restoration likely to be
                               ecologically successful?

Waterway
Modification      ,48          The development of breakwaters,
                               harbors and marinas influences
                               sediment fate in the estuary by
                               creating areas of slack water where
                               sediments may accumulate.  Do such
                               areas create hot-spots of high
                               sediment contamination and does
                               this have significant impacts on
                               Bay-wide water quality?

Pollutants         51          Baseline data are required, against
                               which to measure future trends in
                               contaminant levels in the Bay-
                               Delta.  Are existing monitoring
                               programs sufficient for this
                               purpose;  if not, which programs
                               should be introduced?

                   54          Total contaminant loads to the Bay
                               have generally increased with
                               urbanization.  Can the historical
                               record of contaminant abundance be
                               reconstructed through the analysis
                               of sediment cores and be used to
                               set environmental goals?

                   57          Diluted effluents from industrial
                               and municipal point sources also
                               exhibit toxicity, to phytoplankton
                               and other biota.  What impacts do
                               these discharges exert in the Bay-
                               Delta itself?  Could the discharges
                               be better located?

                   58          Both dredging and dumping release
                               large quantities of sediment into
                               the water column, increasing the
                               turbidity of Bay waters.  Does this
                               significantly affect primary
                               productivity in the estuary?



                      San Francisco Bat'  Delia

                                 50

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                      Aquatic Habirul In~~iiu*e___________________________


Table 3. (Continued).


Ca
  tegory        Number*            Problem

Pollutants (contd.)
                 59           The movement of sediments through
                              dredging and dumping activities may
                              mobilize contaminants and re-
                              introduce these to the water
                              column, either in dissolved form or
                              in association with sediment
                              particles.  How significant is this
                              factor in the estuary?

                 60           Dumping sites in the Bay have been
                              selected because of high dispersive
                              capacities;  however, little is
                              known of where dredged material is
                              actually transported to in the Bay.
                              The accumulation of spoil dumped at
                              Alcatraz is of particular concern.
                              Can current practices and dumping
                              areas be better selected to protect
                              the estuary?

                 69           It is currently impossible to
                              derive a comprehensive picture of
                              chemical distribution in the Bay-
                              Delta ecosystem because of
                              inadequate standardization of study
                              methods and analytical techniques.
                              How should quality assurance and
                              quality control procedures be
                              implemented within the Bay-Delta
                              research community?

                 70           Regulatory agencies have recently
                              developed a broader approach to the
                              evaluation of toxicity of waste
                              discharges.  Despite this, there is
                              disagreement on the selection of
                              appropriate toxicity tests for
                              environmental regulation.  which
                              tests provide the most meaningful
                              basis for regulatory decisions?










                     San Franci~ca Baa - Delia

                                51

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                      Aqua£ic Habiiat Ins*iiu£e___________________________

Table 3. (Contiriued).


Category        Number*            Problem

Pollutants (contd.)
                 73           Present monitoring programs
                              documenting contaminant
                              concentrations in water, sediment
                              and organisms report large numbers
                              of measurements below detection
                              limits, reducing value for money
                              and the worth of the database in
                              evaluation of Bay-Delta problems.
                              - What steps can be taken to avoid
                              this waste of resources?

                 75           Hundreds of millions of dollars are
                              spent annually on monitoring
                              contaminant fates and effects in
                              aquatic environments in the U.S.
                              However, very little attention is
                              paid to the use of these data or
                              the coordination between programs
                              when they are designed.  How can
                              this dilemma best be avoided in
                              Bay-Delta studies?

                 76           Research has indicated correlations
                              of many factors in the Bay-Delta
                              ecosystem, including those
                              concerning the impact of
                              contaminants on Bay resources.
                              However, the establishment of
                              definitive cause and effect
                              relationships is elusive.  What
                              studies should be done to remedy
                              this situation?

                 78           Water quality objectives are
                              breached for some toxicants in
                              certain portions of the Bay-Delta.
                              Which areas are these and what can
                              be done to avoid this scenario?
                              Are existing waste treatment
                              practices adeguate?

                 79           Future urban growth on the Bay-
                              Delta margins and in the catchment
                              is likely to give rise to increased
                              loadings of toxicants to receiving
                              waters.  What is the projected
                              growth in loads and how can this be
                              accommodated?


                             w,  NI'q
                     San Francl4jco Baa - Delia
                                 52

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                      Aquaiic Habiia~ Insiiiu~e____________________________


Table 3. (Continued).


Category        Number*            Problem

Pollutants (contd.)
                 80           Urban and agricultural run-of f are
                              thought to be the source of
                              considerable loads of certain types
                              of contaminants in the estuary.
                              How can these inputs be controlled;
                              in particular, how effective is
                              grading in the control of run-off?



*Refers to number on consolidated list of problems (see section
  III of this report).








































                      San Francisco Bat  Debra

                                53

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                      Aquaric Habira~ Ins~iiu£e____________________________


* Wetlands ma~~ing  (Problems 26 and 27)

     Resources can only be protected if their existence is fully

  acknowledged and their importance understood.  It seems that

  insuff icient data on wetlands are available to use as a basis

  for their future management and protection.

* Monitoring of contaminants  (Problem 51)

     Despite the expenditure of large sums in the past, no

  consolidated data base exists by which to ascertain comparative


  degrees of pollution of different areas of the Bay-Delta or the

  changes in such contamination patterns with time.  It is

  suggested that a program should be designed to provide such a

  data base.

* Dredging and dumping  (Problems 59 and 60)

     Past studies have not adeguately documented the fate of

  sediments or contaminants which are dumped at three major sites

  in the Bay.  This practice is potentially a significant source of

  many contaminants within the estuary and is worthy of further

  study, to determine how adverse impacts on biological resources

  could be reduced or eliminated.

* Contaminant analysis  (Problems 69 and 73)

     The worth of the existing data base on contaminants in the

  Bay-Delta depends entirely on the analytical methods used in

  its establishment.  Quality assurance and control issues have

  not been accorded sufficient weight in the past, despite their

  over-riding importance in developing and evaluating the

  effectiveness of management strategies.





                      SQn Francisco Baa  Deliu

                                54

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       b o     How has change in sediment loading affected sedimentation
               rates and patterns in the estuary?

    5.   Delta outflow is considered to be a prime factor in determining
         the health of the Bay-Delta ecosystem.  However, certain assumptions
         are made in calculating present outflow rates.  Can estimates be
         improved in the future?


II. band Use

    Agriculture and urban development ave caused the loss of 94 percent of
    the Bay-Delta estuary's historical wetlands and radically altered its
    topography and wildlife habitat.


    1.   To what extent has habitat loss or modification affected biological
         diversity, habitat value and productivity in the estuary?

       a O     Compared to most other major estuaries, primary productivity
               in the Bay-Delta is unusually low.  Is habitat modification
               and loss a primary cause of this low productivity?

       b o     Coastal fishery stocks depend on the availability of adequate
               nursery areas.  To what extent has coastal development reduced
               fisheries?

       c o     Bay-Delta wetlands provide extensive habitat for wildlife.
               To what extent has the  ~cline in wetlands affected resident
               and migratory wildlife p~pulations?

       d o    Wetlands provide unique habitat for endangered species.  How
               has wetland loss affected populations of these specIes?


    2.   To what extent have land use modifications in the Bay-Delta affected
         water circulation patterns?

       a o     Fish stocks in the Bay-Delta depend on larval transport into
               the estuary by gravitational circulation, driven by surface
               outflow currents.  How significant is this ~ factor in the
               declines of the Bay-Delta fisheries?


     3.   Management of the margins of the estuary requires decisions regarding
          the restoration and creation of wetlands and mitigation of impacts
          on existing wetlands.

        a o    There  is  very  little  estuary wetland  acreage  remaining.
               Given this, is the creation or use of wetlands for wastewater
               treatment environmentally desirable?

        6 o    Current ~:x~jg~~~~~ policies include land banking - developing
               one wetla  while creating another.  Is this ecologically sound?

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       c o     `\anagement of the Bay-Delta margins could include restoration
               of previously degraded wetlands.  Is such restoration likely
               to be ecologically successful?


III  Waterway Modification

     Extensive waterway modifications have taken place in the San Francisco
     Bay-Delta estuary.  Modifications include dredging, levee construction
     and maintenance, harbor and marina development and damming and diverting
     of upstream waters.   How have these activities affected the estuary
     ecosystem?


     ~.   Eight to nine million cubic yards of material are dredged from
          Bay-Delta sites annually.  How does this effect the ecosystem?

       a o     How is biological productivity influenced?

       b o     Do  dredging  activities  significantly  increase  pollutant
               concentrations and bio-availability in the water column of
               the estuary?


     2.   Other non-dredging waterway modifications, e.g., levee construction
          and harbor development also affect the beneficial uses of the Bay
          and Delta.

       a 0     Do these activities adversely affect biological communities?

       b o     Damming and diversion of waters in the estuary remove biota
               from the Bay-Delta system.  Is this significant in respect to
               its effects on populations?

       c o     Waterway  modifications  may  affect  water  circulation  and
               pollutant dynamics.  To what extent are biota influenced by
               such changes?


Iv.  Pollutants

     The San  Francisco Bay-Delta ecosystem is subjected to considerable
     loads of contaminants from diverse point and nonpoint sources.   In
     addition, concentrations of some contaminants are known to be significantly
     elevated in some portions of the estuary. The distribution and biological
     effects of these contaminants have been poorly characterized.  However,
     there is evidence that at least some biota are being detrimentally
     affected by pollutants in the system.


     I.   Many toxic chemicals have been documented in the San Francisco ~`y-
          Delta ecosystem.   Current knowledge of the sources, transpurt,
          distribution and fate of these contaminants is limited.


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                                                                    M~\). M1~

  a o     Many toxic chemicals are used widely in the Central Valley and
          waters of the Sacramento and San Joaquin Rivers are sometimes
          acutely toxic in bioassays of local organisms.  Which contami-
          nants, and in what quantities, are entering the Bay-Delta estuary
          from the upstream catchment?

  b o     Thousands of tons of hydrocarbons enter the Bay-Delta system
          annually,  along with large amounts of complex mixtures of
          other organic and inorganic contaminants.  Non-point sources
          contribute significant proportions of the total loads of some
          contaminants in other estuaries, but no budget for Bay-Delta
          contamination exists.  What are the relative importances of
          major sources in the Bay-Delta with respect to each contaminant
          type?

  c O     The open coastal waters on Northern California are a relatively
          pristine.  Does the estuary export significant quantities of
          contaminants to this environment?

  d o'    Total contaminant loads to the Bay have generally increased with
          urbanization. Can the historical record of contaminant abundance
          be reconstructed through the analysis of sediment cores and
          be used-to set environmental goals?

  e 0     The accumulation of selenium and other contaminants in parts
          of the Bay-Delta is considered to be a threat to some organisms.
          What aspects of knowledge on the bio-availability of these
          contaminants need to be clarified to fully assess this threat?


2.   The improved management of contaminants in the estuary requires a
     deeper understanding of every aspect of the ecosystem.  Progress in
     characterization of contaminants in the estuary depends largely on
     the selection of the most appropriate study methods.

  a 0     It is currently impossible to derive a comprehensive picture
          of chemical distribution in the Bay-Delta ecosystem because
          of inadequate standardization of study methods and analytical
          techniques.  How should quality assurance and quality control
          procedures be implemented within the Bay-Delta research co~unity?

  b o     Regulatory agencies have recently developed a broader approach
          to the evaluation of toxicity of waste discharges.  Despite
          this, there is disagreement on the selection of appropriate
          toxicity tests for environmental  regulation.   Which tests
          provide the most meaningful basis for regulatory decisions?

  c 0     Acute  bioassays  do  not  adequately predict most kinds  of
          chronic or latent effects `1f toxicants on biota.  Is it possible
          to select bioassays that predict such effects?

  d  o    Bay-Delta sediments contain concentrations of PAHs and metals
          which could be acutely toxic to organisms.  However, bioassay
          testing of Bay sediments on a variety of species has produced
          highly conflicting results among tests.  How can the toxicity

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                                                                    App. A:14

          of sediments be accurately predicted in order to establish
          sediment quality criteria?

  e O     Present monitoring programs documenting contaminant concentrations
          in water,  sediment and organisms report large numbers of
          measurements below detection limits, reducing value for money
          and the worth of the database in evaluation of Bay-Delta
          problems.   What steps can be taken to avoid this waste of
          resources?

  f o     Current monitoring programs and indices (e.g., striped bass)
          used for evaluating fish stocks are relied upon heavily.  How
          accurate are such indices and can they be improved?

  g o     Hundreds of millions of dollars are spent annually on monitoring
          contaminant fate and effects in aquatic environments in the
          U.S.   However, very little attention is paid to the use of
          these data or the coordination between programs when they are
          designed.  How can this dilemma best be avoided in Bay-Delta
          studies?

  I' o    Research has indicated correlations of many factors in the
          Bay-Delta ecosystem, including those concerning the impact of
          contaminants on Bay resources.  However, the establishment of
          definitive cause & effect relationships is elusive.   What
          studies should be done to remedy this situation?

     o    Recent syntheses of long-term studies of bottom communities have
          provided great insight into temporal and spatial trends.  What
          other long-term studies of living resources are required to
          differentiate between natural and anthropogenic causes of change?

3.   Concentrations of contaminants which are potentially harmful have
     been detected in sediment, water and organisms of the Bay-Delta
     estuary. However, little is known of their actual effects on estuarine
     biota or on human health.

  a o     Populations of some species have declined in the Bay-Delta
          estuary over the last 20 years.  To what extent have pollutants
          contributed to this decline?

  b o     Reproductive impairment of some fish has been documented in
          the estuary.  How widespread is this and what are its conse-
          quences?

  c o     Diluted effluents have inhibited algal reproduction in selected
          bioassays.  Is effluent inhibiting primary productivity in the
          estuary?

  d o     Tributyl tin is widely used on vessels berthed in the estuary.
          TBT use has been shown to contribute to the decline of shellfish
          in European estuaries.   Is there a similar problem in the
          Bay-Delta estuary?



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                                                                           App. A:1
       · o     Samples collected from the sea-surface inicrolayer from urban
               bays in Puget Sound and elsewhere have been shown to be
               highly toxic to eggs and larvae of commercial fish.  Is there
               a similar problem in the Bay-Delta estuary?

       f o     Some water samples from freshwater streams entering the Bay-
               Delta system have been shown to be toxic in bioassays.  How
               widespread and significant is this phenomenon throughout the
               estuary, and what are the causative factors?

       g o     Some estuarine sediments have been found to be toxic to Bay-
               Delta biota.   Under what circumstances and to what degree
               does exposure to these sediments constitute a threat to the
               system's resident and inigratory organisms?

       h o     OrganisTns in the Bay-Delta accumulate contaminants from the
               water.  Is there a risk to humans consuming them?

          o    Microbial contamination from urban runoff and sewage discharges
               has resulted in the ~lo&~re of shellfish beds in the Bay.  Is
               there a risk to human health from seafood consumption or
               primary Water contact?



CLOSURE

     In summary, the Technical Advisory Committee has Identified four priority
problems that are central to estuarine management for the San Francisco Bay-
Delta system.  These problem topics have been expanded using issue statements
to elaborate on the specifics of each problem.  The issue statement listing
is not intended to be either exhaustive or final.  It is meant to establish
the critical nature of the four priority problems to this estuary.  Future
iterations of the list will address added issues and suggest their priorities
as appropriate for investigation under the Bay-Delta Project.





















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